Diesel exports from US Gulf fall sharply in 2016

HOUSTON, April 5 (Reuters) -- Diesel fuel exports from the US Gulf Coast declined sharply since December as increasing output from refiners in South American markets and brimming stocks in Europe squeezed key outlets, Thomson Reuters data show.

As a result, distillate inventories in the region have risen 27% since October to more than 50.8 MMbbl, the highest since September 2011.

That level, 90% of the region's 26-year high of 55.9 million bbl reached in February 2011, has pressured cash ultra-low sulfur diesel (ULSD) differentials in the US Gulf Coast market in recent weeks.

The US Energy Information Administration said last week that distillate exports made up an average of 1.19 MMbpd of the 4.3 MMbpd of US refined product exports last year. Most exports ship out from the Gulf Coast, home to about half of US refining capacity.

However, Thomson Reuters Trade Flows data show that since December, diesel exports fell and stocks rose. In January, the US Gulf exported 502,253 bpd -- down 33.5% from December -- then 248,793 bpd in February and 96,287 bpd through March 18.

Diesel exports from the US Gulf Coast face growing competition from Asia and the Middle East, where huge new refineries such as Reliance's Jamnagar and Saudi Arabia's SATORP started exporting large volumes to Europe last year.

Contango in distillate markets in Europe and the US, where barrels sold in futures months fetch higher prices, has encouraged storage, pushing stocks to historically high levels.

In addition, import demand in some South American markets is softening, traders said.

Colombia's state-run Ecopetrol is ramping up output at its expanded 165,000-bpd Reficar refinery in Cartagena, and last month Brazil's Petrobras said it was starting up the second of two diesel hydrotreating units at its newest refinery, RNEST.

After awarding a tender to Koch Industries to cover ULSD imports for the February-June period, Peruvian state-run Petroperu has not bought spot diesel cargoes as it did last year, instead purchasing biodiesel, traders said.

"Global diesel demand is probably pretty good. The problem is too much supply," said Robert Campbell, a refined products analyst with Energy Aspects.

Discounts of Gulf Coast cash ULSD differentials fell as low as 11 cents/gal last month until prompt trade rolled to the more expensive May RBOB contract on Friday.